40 years ago man landed on the Moon and made a “giant leap”. What can we expect 40 years from now, in 2049?

A few weeks ago at the IncrediblEurope Summit in Vienna 905 ideas on the future of Europe in year 2049 were generated within minutes. It is was a great exercise. Highly interactive, interesting and important (if interested you can read the resulting 10 key issues on http://www.incredibleurope.com/innovation.html). But at the same time it also showed that we have absolutely no clue what to expect.
We do no even know what to expect next year not to mention in 40 years (whereby MBA students are still being forced into the “where do you see yourself in 10 years from now” question!). Our visions are limited by our knowledge, experience and our own limited way of thinking. Or maybe you are the one who could have predicted the immense internet revolution, the genocide in Rwanda, the current crisis or other black swans as Nicholas Taleb calls them http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ To be honest the same goes for the majority of business plans I have seen as well as marketing and political predictions.

Reading more about the Black Swan (or check the interview at  http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-tv/emblack-swanem-author-nas_b_181551.html) really makes you think. Although I do disagree with several points, especially the way the 10 principles for a Black Swan-proof world http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/tenprinciples.pdf are written. The “do not” form is easy to write and impossible to implement. If I tell you not to think “blue”, what do you do? Of course you think “blue”. You know what I mean…

Anyway, I think, it is so much easier to critisize and talk about all the things that are wrong  and so much harder to build and make (a positive difference). I like thinking and talking solutions. But, hey, we have a long way to go till 2049…